This vignette demonstrates how to
access most of data stored in a stanfit object. A stanfit object (an
object of class "stanfit") contains the output derived from
fitting a Stan model using Markov chain Monte Carlo or one of Stan’s
variational approximations (meanfield or full-rank). Throughout the
document we’ll use the stanfit object obtained from fitting the Eight
Schools example model:
Warning: There were 16 divergent transitions after warmup. See
https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
to find out why this is a problem and how to eliminate them.
Warning: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
Warning: Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable.
Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess
[1] "stanfit"
attr(,"package")
[1] "rstan"
There are several functions that can be used to access the draws from
the posterior distribution stored in a stanfit object. These are
extract, as.matrix,
as.data.frame, and as.array, each of which
returns the draws in a different format.
The extract function (with its default arguments)
returns a list with named components corresponding to the model
parameters.
[1] "mu" "tau" "eta" "theta" "lp__"
In this model the parameters mu and tau are
scalars and theta is a vector with eight elements. This
means that the draws for mu and tau will be
vectors (with length equal to the number of post-warmup iterations times
the number of chains) and the draws for theta will be a
matrix, with each column corresponding to one of the eight
components:
[1] -2.294597 16.766078 8.317774 4.711895 9.703029 9.898252
[1] 13.396839 1.670215 1.835704 1.087312 9.774975 13.506516
iterations [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6]
[1,] 17.089557 -0.5230537 7.703668 -13.304894 1.051298 9.801762
[2,] 16.798478 16.1297354 17.608264 16.922820 19.126652 16.280950
[3,] 8.536762 8.8787899 6.465309 10.649288 8.236661 6.421047
[4,] 4.990828 4.5700937 3.983041 4.211009 3.665930 4.777658
[5,] 9.067547 -1.3238784 6.068246 9.872118 7.320029 11.069132
[6,] 38.453110 13.2224993 4.145060 15.237521 3.926288 2.141124
iterations [,7] [,8]
[1,] -1.5118792 0.0118178
[2,] 16.2536644 18.9399682
[3,] 9.8407780 8.8920731
[4,] 4.4796195 2.7576694
[5,] 19.7866835 28.7900503
[6,] 0.9040454 -3.0325054
The as.matrix, as.data.frame, and
as.array functions can also be used to retrieve the
posterior draws from a stanfit object:
[1] "mu" "tau" "eta[1]" "eta[2]" "eta[3]" "eta[4]"
[7] "eta[5]" "eta[6]" "eta[7]" "eta[8]" "theta[1]" "theta[2]"
[13] "theta[3]" "theta[4]" "theta[5]" "theta[6]" "theta[7]" "theta[8]"
[19] "lp__"
[1] "mu" "tau" "eta[1]" "eta[2]" "eta[3]" "eta[4]"
[7] "eta[5]" "eta[6]" "eta[7]" "eta[8]" "theta[1]" "theta[2]"
[13] "theta[3]" "theta[4]" "theta[5]" "theta[6]" "theta[7]" "theta[8]"
[19] "lp__"
$iterations
NULL
$chains
[1] "chain:1" "chain:2" "chain:3" "chain:4"
$parameters
[1] "mu" "tau" "eta[1]" "eta[2]" "eta[3]" "eta[4]"
[7] "eta[5]" "eta[6]" "eta[7]" "eta[8]" "theta[1]" "theta[2]"
[13] "theta[3]" "theta[4]" "theta[5]" "theta[6]" "theta[7]" "theta[8]"
[19] "lp__"
The as.matrix and as.data.frame methods
essentially return the same thing except in matrix and data frame form,
respectively. The as.array method returns the draws from
each chain separately and so has an additional dimension:
[1] 4000 19
[1] 4000 19
[1] 1000 4 19
By default all of the functions for retrieving the posterior draws
return the draws for all parameters (and generated quantities).
The optional argument pars (a character vector) can be used
if only a subset of the parameters is desired, for example:
parameters
iterations mu theta[1]
[1,] 2.112825 -0.4910757
[2,] 2.112825 -0.4910757
[3,] 5.394902 7.7399157
[4,] 9.779360 10.7625922
[5,] 8.522380 8.9432516
[6,] 18.528566 26.1166452
Summary statistics are obtained using the summary
function. The object returned is a list with two components:
[1] "summary" "c_summary"
In fit_summary$summary all chains are merged whereas
fit_summary$c_summary contains summaries for each chain
individually. Typically we want the summary for all chains merged, which
is what we’ll focus on here.
The summary is a matrix with rows corresponding to parameters and
columns to the various summary quantities. These include the posterior
mean, the posterior standard deviation, and various quantiles computed
from the draws. The probs argument can be used to specify
which quantiles to compute and pars can be used to specify
a subset of parameters to include in the summary.
For models fit using MCMC, also included in the summary are the Monte
Carlo standard error (se_mean), the effective sample size
(n_eff), and the R-hat statistic (Rhat).
mean se_mean sd 2.5% 25%
mu 7.693103791 0.25021500 5.6331475 -3.8650593 4.5638173
tau 6.801083331 0.20255978 5.7113001 0.2517851 2.5802065
eta[1] 0.414722679 0.01971034 0.9361992 -1.5231246 -0.1781229
eta[2] 0.007834778 0.01578079 0.8668020 -1.7310369 -0.5739909
eta[3] -0.193018884 0.01821972 0.9428932 -2.0178686 -0.8296233
eta[4] -0.022673659 0.01541529 0.8810288 -1.7324867 -0.6070801
eta[5] -0.344798139 0.01709781 0.8761698 -2.0039129 -0.9290280
eta[6] -0.205009139 0.01496519 0.8787261 -1.9350547 -0.7999981
eta[7] 0.356513821 0.01920812 0.8980874 -1.4922050 -0.2339265
eta[8] 0.086516600 0.01605777 0.9494833 -1.7425856 -0.5517805
theta[1] 11.620586821 0.18265439 8.4995740 -1.8673411 6.0225542
theta[2] 7.897682929 0.10270213 6.2001339 -4.3387314 3.9453036
theta[3] 6.003123893 0.17752597 7.8405625 -11.1807282 1.7619008
theta[4] 7.631320211 0.12722644 6.7478546 -6.1618941 3.6074719
theta[5] 5.067904160 0.10536586 6.2082158 -8.1739527 1.3640336
theta[6] 5.878601504 0.18317337 6.7243111 -9.2776784 2.0071996
theta[7] 10.826760377 0.14124775 6.8706547 -1.1175887 6.1561055
theta[8] 8.372261685 0.17442596 8.0009415 -7.2457166 3.5993458
lp__ -39.493418089 0.07754112 2.6415428 -45.3397798 -41.0809214
50% 75% 97.5% n_eff Rhat
mu 7.73222858 11.1276453 18.733232 506.8455 1.0097551
tau 5.44639295 9.5203597 21.091896 794.9934 1.0054861
eta[1] 0.42746880 1.0378197 2.234278 2256.0475 1.0009954
eta[2] 0.01945174 0.5887305 1.702495 3017.0473 1.0007314
eta[3] -0.18377135 0.4456242 1.636653 2678.1909 1.0001371
eta[4] -0.02609765 0.5579808 1.723103 3266.4576 1.0008565
eta[5] -0.36757797 0.2424307 1.384902 2626.0062 1.0012801
eta[6] -0.21804335 0.3579060 1.562957 3447.8032 1.0005356
eta[7] 0.36927263 0.9609093 2.106555 2186.0877 1.0009070
eta[8] 0.09520800 0.7056154 1.960917 3496.2647 0.9995146
theta[1] 10.34121466 15.9594188 32.544210 2165.3799 1.0022614
theta[2] 7.90371337 11.8261516 20.944389 3644.5443 1.0000255
theta[3] 6.51986175 10.6289504 20.435446 1950.6108 1.0012634
theta[4] 7.70954446 11.7117323 21.201013 2813.0449 0.9998947
theta[5] 5.47169282 9.2255345 16.470041 3471.6326 1.0001012
theta[6] 6.40022048 10.2861638 18.168487 1347.6308 1.0015689
theta[7] 10.18908773 14.7714486 26.519941 2366.1005 1.0002795
theta[8] 8.14720081 12.8262583 25.671761 2104.0688 1.0027335
lp__ -39.25619633 -37.6087662 -35.147120 1160.5160 1.0015005
If, for example, we wanted the only quantiles included to be 10% and
90%, and for only the parameters included to be mu and
tau, we would specify that like this:
mu_tau_summary <- summary(fit, pars = c("mu", "tau"), probs = c(0.1, 0.9))$summary
print(mu_tau_summary) mean se_mean sd 10% 90% n_eff Rhat
mu 7.693104 0.2502150 5.633148 1.1041579 14.36102 506.8455 1.009755
tau 6.801083 0.2025598 5.711300 0.9907942 14.30823 794.9934 1.005486
Since mu_tau_summary is a matrix we can pull out columns
using their names:
10% 90%
mu 1.1041579 14.36102
tau 0.9907942 14.30823
For models fit using MCMC the stanfit object will also contain the
values of parameters used for the sampler. The
get_sampler_params function can be used to access this
information.
The object returned by get_sampler_params is a list with
one component (a matrix) per chain. Each of the matrices has number of
columns corresponding to the number of sampler parameters and the column
names provide the parameter names. The optional argument inc_warmup
(defaulting to TRUE) indicates whether to include the
warmup period.
sampler_params <- get_sampler_params(fit, inc_warmup = FALSE)
sampler_params_chain1 <- sampler_params[[1]]
colnames(sampler_params_chain1)[1] "accept_stat__" "stepsize__" "treedepth__" "n_leapfrog__"
[5] "divergent__" "energy__"
To do things like calculate the average value of
accept_stat__ for each chain (or the maximum value of
treedepth__ for each chain if using the NUTS algorithm,
etc.) the sapply function is useful as it will apply the
same function to each component of sampler_params:
mean_accept_stat_by_chain <- sapply(sampler_params, function(x) mean(x[, "accept_stat__"]))
print(mean_accept_stat_by_chain)[1] 0.8119845 0.7173610 0.8894170 0.8307214
max_treedepth_by_chain <- sapply(sampler_params, function(x) max(x[, "treedepth__"]))
print(max_treedepth_by_chain)[1] 4 4 4 4
The Stan program itself is also stored in the stanfit object and can
be accessed using get_stancode:
The object code is a single string and is not very
intelligible when printed:
[1] "data {\n int<lower=0> J; // number of schools\n array[J] real y; // estimated treatment effects\n array[J] real<lower=0> sigma; // s.e. of effect estimates\n}\nparameters {\n real mu;\n real<lower=0> tau;\n vector[J] eta;\n}\ntransformed parameters {\n vector[J] theta;\n theta = mu + tau * eta;\n}\nmodel {\n target += normal_lpdf(eta | 0, 1);\n target += normal_lpdf(y | theta, sigma);\n}"
attr(,"model_name2")
[1] "schools"
A readable version can be printed using cat:
data {
int<lower=0> J; // number of schools
array[J] real y; // estimated treatment effects
array[J] real<lower=0> sigma; // s.e. of effect estimates
}
parameters {
real mu;
real<lower=0> tau;
vector[J] eta;
}
transformed parameters {
vector[J] theta;
theta = mu + tau * eta;
}
model {
target += normal_lpdf(eta | 0, 1);
target += normal_lpdf(y | theta, sigma);
}
The get_inits function returns initial values as a list
with one component per chain. Each component is itself a (named) list
containing the initial values for each parameter for the corresponding
chain:
$mu
[1] -1.003638
$tau
[1] 0.6382434
$eta
[1] -1.29797430 -1.34637933 0.49329270 -1.17032510 -1.70227906 -1.55689064
[7] 0.69356742 0.08848479
$theta
[1] -1.8320616 -1.8629558 -0.6887973 -1.7505903 -2.0901064 -1.9973132 -0.5609733
[8] -0.9471632
The get_seed function returns the (P)RNG seed as an
integer:
[1] 1225805009